Shanghai encourages having two babies
From putting emphasis on controlling population growth strictly first, to control the population size, improve the health of the people, and then carry out the transition to and control the population size, improve the health of the people, solve the aging population problem, now, the statement that the pool solved the population issue has begun to crop up gradually too, the view of the basic situation to the whole China's population of policy-making level has already been changed to some extent
Lian Ri will come, the new policies about encouraging having two babies in Shanghai, are spread bubbling with noisely in the whole country.
July 22, Shanghai the intersection of family planning and committee say, encourage, accord with regeneration, educate couple of terms, bear two children very much. This measure for should to the intersection of Shanghai and severe senilization trend day by day undoubtedly, slow down the speed of senilization. However, after initiating medias to pay close attention to one after another, committee clarified the family planning again immediately, still regard stabilizing low birth level as the main population policy at present, will not issue to the encouragement measure of having two babies. Today, low fertility rate has already become reality, Shanghai is to some " wish to speak but not to do so on a second thought " of encouragement having two babies Taste.
Encourage having two babies?
On July 22, director of Shanghai Population Planning Committee Xie LingLi says, Shanghai encourages the couple who accords with regeneration and educates the condition to bear two children very much, such as both sides being the only-child's couple, can bear the second children according to the policy. Shanghai Population Planning Committee says, will utilize the comprehensive service station of community's birth control to release more relevant materials, let every cadre, family planning of community, educate couple of terms, offer more consultation and guidance for accord with regeneration, encourage them bear two child, this measure for should to the intersection of Shanghai and severe senilization trend day by day too, slow down the speed of senilization.
Reporting in medias one after another, and initiate people to when the conjecture of a certain change will take place in Shanghai and even national family planning policy, Xie LingLi shows again, relevant reports are inaccurate, the policy that the couple according with regeneration and educating terms can have two babies, has implemented in Shanghai for many years, it is not a new population policy, Shanghai still regards stabilizing low birth level as the main population policy at present, will not issue to the encouragement measure of having two babies.
Meanwhile, on July 24, Shanghai Population Planning Committee announced on its website this city couple at child-bearing age bear two children's concrete terms. According to " population and birth control regulations in Shanghai " who was implemented formally from April 15, 2004, urban residents have 9 kinds of regeneration to breed the condition; Rural peasants have also increased by 3 kinds besides 9 kinds of conditions of urban residents', 12 kinds of regeneration breed the condition altogether. The couple as pre-marital both sides have not born children, after bearing a child, " one party is identified as the non- hereditary deformity by the related departments, influenced working, not taking care of oneself " , " whether one party engaged in, head out, catch more than fisherman for five years in succession " ,Can regenerate and educate a child,etc.. And, since 2004, Shanghai had already cancelled regenerating and bred in the interval of 4 years.
The elderly top 3 million
Though the municipal family planning committee claims Shanghai will not issue the encouragement measure of having two babies, but reaffirm the pen coming idly not irrelevant this time.
Shanghai national aged turns intensity top into the serious areas. The demographic transition course of the household register of Shanghai was earlier than the whole country for 10-20 years, began to enter the senilization society in 1979. By the end of 2008, 60 years old and old population of the above household register in Shanghai have topped 3 million people for the first time, up to 3,005,700, accounts for 21.6% of the total population of the household register. The intensity of aging population has already been close to Britain's level, it is 1 time higher than the whole country.
While the senilization intensity is being strengthened constantly, the household register birthrate of Shanghai is dropping constantly too. Since 1993, Shanghai had already entered the natural change negative growth stage of population of household register. The population of the household register of Shanghai was born in 96,700 people in 2008, the natural rate of growth was - 0.75%. At the end of 2008, on the scientific summit forums of people that Fudan University hold, Xie LingLi has expressed, limit in the birth level in Shanghai has already been dropped to terminally.
Spread Yi, seem in expert of Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences population piece, Shanghai low situation that bear to plan child-bearing policy now, the family planning policy for many years has really reduced fertility rate very effectively; "I have done a lot to investigate, has visited a lot of couple at child-bearing age in Shanghai, the proportion liking to have two babies is very low, ask reason its whether nearly rare to mention birth control, the overwhelming majority comes from the idea or economic reason. " Zhang ChuanYi tells the weekly reporter of era.
On one hand aged population increases continuously, on the other hand, young population is reducing constantly. Zhang ChuanYi says, if locate aged population in the peak of a model, young population locates in the bottom, the population structure of Shanghai, has already changed from the shape of the past Pyramid into the present spindle shape, rapidly to change shape of the Pyramid, change.
"Can reflect the intersection of Shanghai and structure of labouring population most, should reach, have old state-owned enterprise that population from other places enters watch little, really have a kind of feeling late in one's life. "
Two expensive fetus cost
The more pessimistic one is, the variation tendency of the size of population has enormous inertia. "It does not turn around so so briskly and conveniently as the bicycle, but look like one and add the long load truck, brake, turn around extremely difficult. Once population begins to reduce, the inertia of negative growth will lead to the fact population reduces within quite a long time irresistibly, it will even last decades longer. " Zhang ChuanYi tells reporters.
Make people that have encouragement of policy, to bear the will, drop all the way Shanghai people in one reality of worry, cool gradually. Shanghai Population Planning Committee did the sample investigation to bearing the will of citizens five times in 1983, 1992, 1994, 1998 and 2003 separately, it bears the will and bears the will as 2.04 children since 1983, 1.1 children dropping to 2003 all the way. Not long ago, an investigation that one media of Shanghai carried on revealed too, in the citizens qualified to bear two children, only 18.5% of the people express willingness to bear the second baby, the expensive cost which trains the child is that citizens consider the greatest worry while bearing two children.
"In Shanghai, even if married couple both sides are only-children, it is not very willing to have two babies, too expensive! Probably two kinds of persons would like to grow: First, the rich, second, got the new Shanghai people of the household register of Shanghai, they are carrying the traditional thinking of the hometown, may have two babies. " Zhang Chuan Yi says.
Chen XiaoYu and husband are the relatively rare married couple who wants two children in Shanghai. They both are only-children, can have two babies, the economic condition is rather superior too, she herself is a public relationship officer of the porcelain Corporation of Beijing, the husband is the managing high of one securities broker company in Shanghai, have ability to raise two children. They have a 3 -year-old son, prepare a child of regeneration for one or two years, on one hand, the child's growth has a companion; On the other hand, lighten the burden that some children will support the old man in the future too. "The intersection of boudoir and honey of me say I have gone mad, they are very strange, who else has two babies now. " Chen XiaoYu tells reporters.
However, as to most only-child married couple in Shanghai, it is only an unattainable dream to have two babies.
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